Showing posts with label Wonder Woman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wonder Woman. Show all posts

Friday, May 11, 2018

Critics Had Nothing To Do With DC Failing



With The Avengers ripping through the theatres, I can't help but think about the people over at Warner Bros.  Ultimately, they know that this is exactly where they should have been back in November.  It was their turn for a gigantic extended universe team up with Justice League.  Not only did Justice League not do as expected, but it ended up being the lowest grossing DC extended universe movie, both domestically and world wide.

While Marvel has had a lot of financial success, their movies have also been critically appreciated.  The lowest ranking film was Thor: The Dark World with 66% on Rotten Tomatoes.  DC, on the other hand, has been plagued with films that fail to connect with critics.  The only movie on the Warner Bros side of things that got a 'fresh' rating is Wonder Woman, with a stunning 92%.



What ended up happening fairly early on in the DC franchise was that fans of the properties began blaming the lack of financial breakthroughs of the films on critics.  I know that the internets had that sort of talk, and I had people talking to me in person how the critics were out to sabotage DC while promoting Marvel. There was an insistence that the DC films were actually really good, it was just that those darned critics had some sort of vendetta against them.

The people who are saying that seem to be forgetting that one of the most acclaimed superhero movie series of all time were Christopher Nolan's Batman films.  Critics have absolutely nothing against DC heroes.  Even Lego Batman got 90% on RT.  Two of the Nolan Batman films even came out after the beginnings of the Marvel universe.  Critics were not setting out to pick one side over the other.  They have shown that they are willing to root for DC, even after Marvel started doing its thing.



Critics are so not the issue here.  The fact, plain and simple. is that the Warner Bros attempts were just not as good.  I understand that there are a lot of people who liked the movies, but ultimately it is not the majority who think so.  If the problem was in fact that critics were setting out against this franchise, then there wouldn't be generally lower audience scores on Rotten Tomatoes, or lower CinemaScores for these films.

The best piece of empirical proof is the financials of Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice.  If the problem was simply the critics, how is it that the film's opening weekend ended up representing 50.3% of its total domestic take?  That is the sort of opening weekend skewing that happens with insanely horrible horror movies, definitely not blockbusters.  The first weekend to second weekend drop was 69.1%, the type of drop that is pretty much unheard of for a movie of this scale.  Now, Star Wars: The Last Jedi had a dip of 67%, but its not the same thing.  First of all, its second weekend was right before Christmas.  As well, even with an enormous drop into its second weekend, its opening weekend still only represented 35.5% of its domestic tally.  The difference here is that The Last Jedi otherwise held up really well, representing continuing interest from audiences.

We could also look at the fact that while Dawn of Justice had the seventh highest world wide opening ever, it failed to perform past that.  The film currently sits at fifty seventh all time world wide, dropping a total of fifty slots from its opening weekend ranking.



The point that I am making is that these movies, excluding Wonder Woman, do not really hold up that well in terms of consistent performance.  The DC movie that held up the best after opening weekend was 2013's Man of Steel, where the opening represented 40.1% of its domestic total.  Wonder Woman, on the other hand, had its opening weekend ending up as 25% of its total.  That's the kind of first weekend representation that reflects strong audience engagement.

Some might say that the reason why Wonder Woman performed like that is because it was the one DC movie that saw favourable reviews.  We don't have to look far to see that critical response doesn't necessarily have much of an impact on consumer behaviour when it comes to blockbusters.  Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen and Dark of the Moon scored 19% and 35% respectively on Rotten Tomatoes.  Revenge of the Fallen's opening weekend was 27.1% of its domestic take, while Dark of the Moon saw its opening weekend represent 27.8%.

There are some genres where critical opinion can affect the financial success, but those genres are typically those of prestige pictures.  Horror, comedy, and tentpole blockbusters are generally immune to Rotten Tomatoes.  I'm not saying that the critics have no influence on audience behaviour for those types of films, just that success does not hinge on what the critics are saying.  There have been many a film that have done well without the backing of critics.



I get that sometimes the way you view a film makes you want others to 'wake up' and see it as you do.  There are a large number of movies that I quite enjoyed that got railed by critics.  Both myself and my podcast co-host Christopher Spicer gave three stars to The Hangover Part III.  However, just because I liked it doesn't mean that the masses got it wrong or that people were setting out to destroy it.  There was no conspiracy, just the fact that I liked a movie that, in reality, may be considered a bad film.  It happens, and I invite fans of the DC Extended Universe to not blame critics, but just accept the fact that they may just happen to enjoy a movie that actually isn't as good as they view it to be.  And there's absolutely nothing wrong with that.

Some movies that I enjoyed that the critics did not like
The Hangover Part III - 21%
Dead Man Down - 38%
Dark Shadows - 37%
The Kingdom (I didn't just like this, it was one of my favourite movies of 2007) - 51%
Drive Angry - 46%
Olympus Has Fallen - 48%
Bullet to the Head - 47%

The list goes on.  Rotten Tomatoes doesn't seem to be working right now, so this is where I will stop.

Thursday, June 1, 2017

Box Office Predictions: 'Wonder Woman' and 'Captain Underpants'

I find myself in a very tricky position this week.  Wonder Woman has finally come, and with that there are a number of factors that must be weighed in to get an understanding of where it might fall in the box office.  I liked last weekend better.  It was much more straight forward, and it was easy to get my mind around possibilities for the wide releases.  This is the part of predicting that sucks.  Writing away and having no clue of what the end result will be until it is time to type it.

Before I get to the positives around Wonder Woman, I should start off with the elephant in the room.  That is the Warner Bros' DC shared universe.  This collection of movies (which so far has three entries) is far from organic.  It is forced, and the films have reflected that.  They have not been solid entities and have seen huge diminishes in their first to second week earnings.  Warner Bros should be a little scared.  They are very obviously attempting to mirror Marvel, but Marvel went about it in a different way.  They made singular movies and then strung them together for The Avengers.  It was a process that was a lot more free-flowing than this attempt to play catch up.

The big question is, has the quality of the previous DC movies caused fans to be cautious of Wonder Woman?  I think it has.  There are die-hard fanboys that would think this is not the case, but history has shown that the quality of films catch up on the creators and that good will is not unending.  Zack Snyder's bleak version of the Superman movies was something that Suicide Squad tried to break free from, and yet those attempts couldn't save it from falling 67% into its second weekend.  The die may have already been cast on this shared universe attempt, and people may very well be staying away from this latest film.

That being said, the previous movies did not have the same sort of acclaim heading into their debuts.  Sadly, this is the first 'fresh' DC movie on Rotten Tomatoes since the attempt to create the shared universe.  What Wonder Woman appears to have going for it is that it is actually a good movie and not just something that is created to make more films off of.  Currently it is sitting at 92% on Rotten Tomatoes.  This is sure to help ease the concerns of audience members that have already been burned by DC and Warner Bros.  While it may not have the biggest impact on the film's opening weekend, it is sure to help its longevity in the box office.

While critical reviews have proven to not be a solid indicator of how a superhero movie will do, I will now turn to what is probably the most telling indicator of the excitement around Wonder Woman.  Currently, for Thursday, June 1st, there have been 139,775 tweets about this movie.  That is a lot of energy to be circulating around a film.  It is a sign that there could be a lot of hunger towards a movie that centres around a female protagonist.  It is these Twitter numbers that show we could have a break out hit on our hands.  While the studio is anticipating an opening weekend of $70-75 million, this could prove to be ultra-conservative, and I see Wonder Woman performing a lot better than that.

Wonder Woman Opening Weekend Prediction - $115 million

Opening up alongside of Wonder Woman is Fox's Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie.  It will have a bit of franchise appeal to those who are familiar with the books, and its hope is to capitalize on the recent lack of animated family fare to attract new fans.  The last animated film in theatres was Smurfs: The Lost Village on April 7.  This is a long time to go between family films, and the drought may be on the side of Captain Underpants here.

The unfortunate thing for Mr. Underpants is that there are a few highly anticipated animated movies soon to hit theatres.  In two weeks we have Cars 3, and then two weekends after that it is Despicable Me 3.  It could be the case that there are families that are waiting for those two films to come out.  Taking a family out to the theatre is no cheap activity, and viewers may be watching their wallets for the more recognizable names later in the month.

While activity on Flixster has been comparable to where The Boss Baby was leading into its opening weekend, other indicators are not there to prove that it will be as popular.  To give you an example of what I mean, The Boss Baby has over 1.3 million likes on Facebook.  Captain Underpants, on the other hand, has only 66 thousand.  That is quite the difference, and it shows that this film is in for a healthy, yet not overly impressive, opening weekend.

Captain Underpants Opening Weekend Prediction - $35 million

About Me

My photo
I'm smarter than a bat. I know this because I caught the little jerk bat that got in my apartment, before immediately and inadvertently bringing him back in. So maybe I'm not smarter than a bat.